On 14 September 2025, Burnley will host Liverpool in the 4th round of the English Premier League. The match is set to kick off at 15:00 Central European Time. Here’s a look at both teams and their chances.
Burnley
Burnley has recently advanced to the round of 16 in the EFL Cup after beating Derby County 2-1. At home, they have a strong record, winning six straight matches, including some from the previous Championship season. However, their history against Liverpool at Turf Moor is concerning, as they have lost all six of their recent home games against this team.
Liverpool
Liverpool, the current champions of England, have started their season strongly, showcasing their title aspirations. They made several key signings during the off-season, enhancing their squad’s strength and depth. Despite a penalty loss to Crystal Palace in the Super Cup, they have been consistent in the league, winning their first three matches. They began with a 4-2 win over Bournemouth, followed by a 3-2 victory at Newcastle. Before the international break, they secured a 1-0 win against Arsenal. The team is in good form and confident heading into the match against Burnley.
Statistically, Liverpool has the advantage, winning 8 out of their last 10 matches against Burnley, with just one loss and one draw.
Probable lineups
- Burnley: Dubravka, Hartman, Ekdal, Esteve, Walker, Cullen, Ugochukwu, Mejbri, Anthony, Bruun Larsen, Foster.
- Liverpool: Alisson, Jones, Konaté, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Gravenberch, Szoboszlai, Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo, Ekitike.
Key facts and head-to-head
- Burnley have won 6 of their last 7 home matches.
- Three of Burnley’s last 4 matches have had over 2.5 goals.
- Liverpool have won 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Liverpool have won 3 of their last 4 away games.
- 9 of Liverpool’s last 10 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Liverpool’s last 8 games.
- Liverpool have won their last 5 matches against Burnley.
- Liverpool have won their last 5 away games at Burnley.
Burnley vs Liverpool prediction
Liverpool enters this match as the clear favorites. They have won all three league matches so far and displayed confident football. Considering their track record against Burnley and their current form, a victory for Liverpool appears likely. My recommendation for this match is a Liverpool win with a -1 handicap at odds of 1.52.