Betting Lines
Moneyline
Manchester City: -200
Newcastle United: +450
Draw: +390
Spread
Manchester City -1.5 (+125)
Newcastle United +1.5 (-175)
Total Goals
Over 3.5 (+105)
Under 3.5 (-130)
Resume Check
Manchester City
League Position: 2nd (53 points)
Last Five (All Competitions):
• W vs Salford City (2–0, FA Cup)
• W vs Fulham (3–0, EPL)
• W vs Liverpool (2–1, EPL)
• W vs Newcastle (3–1, Carabao Cup)
• D vs Tottenham (2–2, EPL)
Manchester City comes into this match in strong form, unbeaten in their last five games and with four consecutive wins. Their victory over Liverpool demonstrated their performance under pressure, and they remain a key contender for the title.
City has excelled both offensively and defensively, scoring 54 goals and conceding just 24, resulting in one of the best goal differences in the league.
Newcastle United
League Position: 10th (36 points)
Last Five (All Competitions):
• W vs FK Qarabag (6–1, UCL)
• W vs Aston Villa (3–1, FA Cup)
• W vs Tottenham (2–1, EPL)
• L vs Brentford (2–3, EPL)
• L vs Manchester City (1–3, Carabao Cup)
Newcastle has also been in good form lately, winning three of their last five matches, including notable wins against Tottenham and Aston Villa. However, defensive inconsistency has hindered their rise in the standings.
They have scored 37 goals this season while conceding an equal number, reflecting their defensive challenges compared to City.
Last Five Head-to-Head
• Manchester City 3–1 Newcastle United (Carabao Cup, 2026)
• Newcastle United 0–2 Manchester City (Carabao Cup, 2026)
• Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester City (EPL, 2025)
• Manchester City 4–0 Newcastle United (EPL, 2025)
• Newcastle United 1–1 Manchester City (EPL, 2024)
Manchester City has had the upper hand recently, particularly at home where they often control the game.
Players to Watch
Manchester City
Erling Haaland (22 goals)
Regarded as a top striker in the Premier League. His goal-scoring ability and presence make him a formidable opponent.
Phil Foden (7 goals)
Brings speed and creativity from the wings, adding depth to City’s attack.
Rayan Cherki (7 assists)
City’s leading playmaker this season, known for his vision and passing skills.
Newcastle United
Bruno Guimarães (9 goals, 4 assists)
A key midfielder and top scorer for Newcastle, essential for controlling game pace.
Nick Woltemade (7 goals)
An offensive threat capable of taking advantage of scoring chances.
Harvey Barnes (5 goals)
Offers pace and creativity on the flank, effective in counterattacks.
How Manchester City Wins
Manchester City can secure victory by maintaining possession and applying consistent pressure. Their strong midfield, led by Cherki and others, allows them to set the game’s tempo and limit Newcastle’s scoring chances.
Haaland’s ability to find space makes him a persistent threat, complemented by City’s wide players who create openings.
Should City score early, they can dictate the pace of the match and put Newcastle on the back foot.
Defensively, City’s organization minimizes counterattacks and allows them to retain control.
How Newcastle United Wins
Newcastle’s path to victory lies in solid defense and exploiting counterattacks. They need to stay compact and restrict City’s opportunities.
Guimarães should manage the midfield while strikers like Woltemade and Barnes must effectively convert chances.
A rigid defensive effort and possibly set pieces can also yield scoring chances.
If Newcastle manages to frustrate City and keep the game tight, they could find opportunities late on.
Prediction
Manchester City is in excellent form, aiming for the Premier League title. Their recent success against Liverpool shows they can win under various conditions, and playing at the Etihad is a significant advantage.
Newcastle has made strides in performance, but their defensive inconsistency is troubling. Against a team like City, any mistakes can lead to quick penalties.
Expect City to dominate possession, create more scoring opportunities, and rely on Haaland’s finishing skills. Newcastle will compete, but City’s superior quality should prevail.
Manchester City 3, Newcastle United 1